Halving Cycles — Current Filter

General trend · now · history.

Hover for day + cycle values

Now

Day 915

Current Phase

Accumulation

Current Filter

General Trend

Power-Law Historical Fit — Rainbow σ Bands

Log scale · actual BTC price · historical residual bands.

+3σ

$642k

+2σ

$386k

+1σ

$232k

Trend

$140k

−1σ

$84k

−2σ

$51k

−3σ

$30k

Historical In-Sample Fit R²

0.9195

Historical Fitted Trend

$139,685

Deviation

−39.8%

M2 Money Supply — Fuel vs BTC Response

M2 in gold · BTC market response in grey · normalized dual scale.

M2 money supplyActual BTC path

BTC-M2 Correlation

0.776

Optimal Lead

90 days

M2 Trend

Expanding

Educational analysis only, not financial advice. Cycle phases are heuristic historical context; power-law values are historical fits, not forecasts. Past performance does not guarantee future results.