Trading Strategies
Bitcoin price analysis with 45-day, 120-day, and 320-day moving averages
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📊 SMA Distribution Analysis
Statistical analysis showing how price behaves relative to moving averages during different halving cycle phases
🌍 All Time Distribution Summary
All phases combined showing the full historical distribution with current dollar price levels
Bitcoin Halving Cycles
Historical patterns and current cycle position
(Pre-halving accumulation)
📈 Bitcoin Price History Across Halving Cycles
Historical Bitcoin price with color-coded phases. Green shades indicate bullish periods: pre-halving accumulation (lighter green) and post-halving bull markets (darker green). Red indicates distribution/bear markets. Vertical gold lines mark each halving event.
📚 Understanding Halving Cycles
4-Year Cycle Breakdown
⚠️ Current Phase Analysis
We are 635 days post-halving (April 20, 2024).
Expected Phase: Distribution/Bear Market (Q4 Year 2+)
According to the halving cycle strategy, we are in the distribution/bear phase where short bias and risk-off positioning is typically favored. This phase historically lasts until the next pre-halving accumulation phase begins (~1.5 years before the 2028 halving, around October 2026).
Historical Halving Events
| Halving # | Date | Block Height | Block Reward |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nov 28, 2012 | 210,000 | 50 → 25 BTC |
| 2 | Jul 9, 2016 | 420,000 | 25 → 12.5 BTC |
| 3 | May 11, 2020 | 630,000 | 12.5 → 6.25 BTC |
| 4 (Current) | Apr 20, 2024 | 840,000 | 6.25 → 3.125 BTC |
| 5 (Next) | ~Apr 17, 2028 | 1,050,000 | 3.125 → 1.5625 BTC |
Key Levels & Liquidations
Support, resistance, and liquidation zones
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M2 Money Supply
Correlation with Bitcoin price (0.899)
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Lead-Lag Analysis & Predictions
Market correlations and predictive insights
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